Gartner, ruzivo rwehunyanzvi rwekuongorora uye kuongorora kambani, yakataura kuti muna 2024, vatariri vacharamba vachishanda nesimba kuti vashanduke ne software uye zvisizvo muchikamu chitsva chemotokari dzemagetsi.
Mafuta nemagetsi zvakakwaniriswa mutengo wakakurumidza kupfuura zvaitarisirwa
Mari yebhatiri iri kudonha, asi magetsi emotokari yekugadzira mota ichadonha kunyange kukurumidza kuenda kune matekinoroji emhando idzo dzakadai sekugadzirisa. Nekuda kweizvozvo, Gartner anotarisira kuti ne2002 Electric mota ichave isingadhuri kuti mugadziri vemukati meinjini nekuda kwehunyanzvi hwekugadzira tekinoroji uye mutengo wakaderera mari.
Mune izvi, Pedro Pacheco, tsvagiridzo yakajeka paGartner, akati: "Oems New Tariro yekutsanangudza mamiriro ezvinhu quo yeiyo indasitiri yemotokari. Ivo vanounza matekinoroji ekugadzira anogadzira mari yekugadzira, yakadai seyakavharwa yemotokari yekugadzira yekugadzira kana yakabatanidzwa yekufa-yekukanda, iyo inobatsira kuderedza mari yekugadzira. Nguva nenguva, nguva yekugungano, vatariri vechinyakare havana sarudzo kunze kwekutora ivhu idzi kuti vapone. "
"Tesla nevamwe vakatarisa kugadzirwa nenzira itsva," Pacheco akataura nezveEmotokari yeEurope pamberi penyaya yekusunungurwa.
Imwe yeanonyanya kuzivikanwa imbuzi "yakabatanidzwa inofa-yekudya," iyo inoreva kufa - ichikanda mota yakawanda kuita chimwe chinhu, pane kushandisa akawanda emakona uye anonamira. Pacheco uye dzimwe nyanzvi dzinofunga Tesla mutungamiri mutsvuku mukucheka musangano uye piyona mukubatanidzwa kunofa.
Kugamuchirwa kwemotokari dzemagetsi kwadzikira mumisika mikuru, kusanganisira United States uye Europe, saka nyanzvi dzinoti zvakakanganisika kune vatariri vemauto kuti vazivedze pasi.
Pacheco akanongedzera iyo yakasanganiswa-yekukanda tekinoroji yega inogona kuderedza mutengo wemuviri muchena ne "zvirinani" 20%, uye mamwe maitiro ekudzora anogona kuwanikwa achishandisa mabheji ebhatiri seyakagadzirwa zvinhu.
Mari yebhatiri yave ichidonha kwemakore, asi inodonhedza magungano yaive "chinhu chisingataurike" chichiuya nemotokari dzemagetsi kuti dzive nemitengo yemukati ine motokari dzemukati dzinokurumidza kupfuura kufunga. "Tiri kusvika panguva ino yekupindirana kare pane zvainotarisirwa," akawedzera.
Zvakananga, chakatsaurwa chokuita chive chivimbo chichaipa rusununguko rwekugadzira mitsara yekugadzira magungano kuti vafanane nehunhu hwavo, kusanganisira diki powertrains uye batri rakatsetseka.
Mukupesana, mapuratifomu akakodzera "akawanda-powertrains" ane mamwe miganhu, sezvavanoda nzvimbo kuti igare mutangi mafuta kana injini / kutapurirana.
Kunyange izvi zvichireva kuti mota dzemagetsi dzikatadza dzevamati zvine motokari dzakawanda nekukurumidza zvinotarisirwa, zvichawedzerawo mutengo wekugadziriswa kwemotokari dzemagetsi emagetsi.
Garter anofanotaura kuti na2027, avhareji mutengo wekugadzirisa tsaona dzakakura dzinosanganisira miviri yemagetsi uye mabhatiri anowedzera ne30%. Naizvozvo, varidzi vanogona kunge vachisarudza kusarudza kuti vatore mota yakakora yemagetsi sezvinoita mari yekugadzira inogona kunge yakakwira kupfuura kukosha kwayo. Saizvozvovo, nekuti kugadziriswa kwekurovera kwakanyanya kudhura, mota inishuwarenzi yemotokari kunogona kuve yakakwirira zvakare, kunyange kukonzeresa makambani einishuwarenzi kuramba kufukidzwa kwemamwe marudzi.
Kukurumidza kudzikisa mutengo wekugadzira madivi hakufanirwe kuuya kumutengo wekuchengetedza mari yekugadzirisa, sezvo izvi zvinogona kukonzera mutengi wekudzosera kumashure kwenguva refu. Nzira nyowani dzekubereka mota dzemagetsi dzemagetsi dzinofanirwa kuiswa parutivi matanho ekugadzirisa mari yakaderera.
Iyo Magetsi Mota Market Inopinda "Kupona kweiyo yakakodzera" nhanho
Pacheco akataura kuti uye kana iyo mari yekuchengetedza kubva kumitengo yemagetsi inotaura zvinoenderana nemutengo wemagetsi
Mukuwedzera, Garter achiri kufanotaura kukura kwakasimba muEmagetsi kutengesa kwemotokari, nehafu yemotokari dzakatengeswa muna 2030 kuve mota dzakachena yemagetsi. Asi kana zvichienzaniswa ne "Goridhe Rush" yevashandi vekutanga vemagetsi, musika uri kupinda nguva ye "kupona kweakakodzera".
Pacheco inotsanangurwa 2024 segore rekushandurwa kweEuropean Magetsi emusika, nemakambani eChinese
"Zvizhinji zvinhu zviri kuitika izvozvi hazvigone kukanganisa kutengesa, asi ivo vari kugadzirira zvinhu zvikuru," akadaro.
Zvichakadaro, vazhinji vepamusoro-vemagetsi emotokari vakatambura vachitambura pamusoro pegore rapfuura, kusanganisira pombi, iyo yakaona chikamu charo chemutengo inodonhedza zvakanyanya kubva pakanyorwa, uye lucid, iyo ichicheka its 2024 yekugadzira chikamu ne 90%. Mamwe makambani anotambudzika anosanganisira Fisker, ari muhurukuro naNissan, uye Gaohe, iyo ichangobva kuratidzwa kuvharwa kwekugadzira.
Pacheco akadaro, "Kare, vazhinji vekutanga vakaungana mumunda wemagetsi wemotokari kuti vagone kuita mari yemagetsi. Mhirizhonga yezvinetso. "
Garter anofanotaura kuti na2027, 15% yemakambani emagetsi akateedzerwa mumakore gumi apfuura anowanikwa kana kuenda kunobhuroka, kunyanya izvo zvinovhara pakudya kwekunze kuti vaenderere mberi nekuita mabasa ekuramba. Nekudaro, "izvi hazvireve kuti iyo magetsi emagetsi indasitiri iri kuderera, zvinongopinda muchikamu chitsva apo makambani ane zvigadzirwa zvakanaka uye masevhisi achakunda mamwe makambani." Pacheco akadaro.
Uyezve, akataurawo kuti "nyika zhinji dzirikukurudzira dzichikurudzira zvine chekuita nemotokari dzemagetsi, zvichiita kuti musika uwedzere kunetsa vatambi varipo." Nekudaro, "isu tiri kupinda chikamu chitsva mune iyo mota dzakachena dzisingagoni kutengeswa pane zvinokurudzira / kubvumirana kana kubatsira kwezvakatipoteredza. Bevs inofanira kunge iri yega-yakatenderedza yepamusoro chigadzirwa ichienzaniswa nemotokari yemukati yekubatanidza injini. "
Nepo iyo misika yeEv iri kushandira, kutumira uye kupinza zvicharamba zvichikura. Gartner anofungidzira kuti zvigadzirwa zvemagetsi zvichisvika zviuru gumi nezvisere zvikamu zvemamirioni muna 2024 uye 20.6 mamirioni zvikamu muna 2025.
Kutumira Nguva: Mar-20-2024